Thomas Hobbes and the price of peace
On a windy April night in 1588, as rumors spread that the Spanish Armada had set sail, an anxious mother in Wiltshire went into labor. Her son later joked that “my mother gave birth to twins: myself and fear.”1 Thomas Hobbes grew up in the long shadow of that fear—of invasion, plague, and, eventually, civil war. When London mobs packed the streets in 1640, he slipped quietly across the Channel to Paris. In exile, he watched his homeland unravel and asked a blunt question: What must we give up to stop the chaos?
Hobbes was not a courtly sage or a fiery preacher; he was the meticulous tutor with a geometric mind, the sort of man who thought political arguments should be proved like triangles. His obsession was the same from youth to old age: how to tame conflict among creatures who are equal enough to kill each other, needy enough to compete, and clever enough to scheme. The answer became Leviathan (1651), a book as stark as a winter sky.
Hobbes begins at the ground floor of human life—the “state of nature.” Imagine, he says, no police, no courts, no common authority. Not a noble wilderness, but a condition where each person is judge and executioner of their own case. In such a world, “the life of man [is] solitary, poor, nasty, brutish, and short.”2 That famous line isn’t a moral insult; it’s a risk calculation. When distrust is rational, even decent people arm themselves. Preemptive strikes start to look like self-defense. Spirals ensue.
His big idea is disarmingly simple: to escape that spiral, we make a collective promise. Each of us authorizes a common power—the “sovereign”—to make rules and to enforce them. Think of it like a group chat that keeps collapsing into fights: you all agree to let one admin set norms and mute people, because otherwise no one gets anything done. In Hobbes’s version, the admin gets teeth: courts, police, even an army. The contract is not between people and the ruler but among the people themselves; they agree to treat the sovereign’s decisions as their own. The price is real—giving up a wide range of freedoms—but the benefit is peace.
He preferred monarchy for its unity, but the key for Hobbes is not crowns; it’s credibility. Authority must be undivided and strong enough to overawe would‑be predators. Yet he carves out one stubborn exception: you never relinquish the right to preserve your own life. If the sovereign sends you to your certain death, you may run.3 This is not rebellion dressed up as a principle; it’s the lone right that makes sense even in the state of nature.
Then came the stress test. England’s Civil War (1642–1651) toppled a king, empowered soldiers’ councils, and birthed competing parliaments. Neighbors switched loyalties when new regiments rode in. Courts were shuttered, taxes improvised, sermons weaponized. Hobbes watched the regicide of Charles I (1649) and the rise of Cromwell’s army-state and concluded that legitimacy follows protection: people owe obedience to whatever power can actually keep the peace.4 That claim offended both royalists (who saw kings as sacred) and republicans (who believed in rights against rulers). But Hobbes’s point was diagnostic, not devotional: the cure for civil war is authority that can credibly stop it.
Leviathan was not a love letter to tyranny. It was a map of fear. Hobbes demystified political romance—the idea that “the people” spontaneously harmonize—and replaced it with coordination under duress. If you want security, concentrate coercion and lay down rules everyone understands. If you splinter power, you invite the very contest that makes rules meaningless. It’s cold comfort, but it is comfort.
So what does a 17th‑century exile offer you on a Monday morning? A mental model for moments when safety and freedom feel like a tug-of-war.
Apply this to pandemic lockdowns, to platform moderation, to AI safety regimes, to urban policing. “More power” and “less power” are lazy answers. The Hobbesian question is sharper: What arrangement will most of us, most of the time, predictably comply with because it makes us safer than the alternatives—and how do we ensure it doesn’t devour the very lives it aims to protect?
Hobbes doesn’t teach us to love Leviathans. He teaches us to count. When fear surges, we reach for order. The task is to make that reach proportionate, reviewable, and—as far as politics allows—reversible. In a noisy world, the 17th‑century skeptic whispers a hard truth: peace is not our natural habitat. It’s a project we build together, and the bill comes due.
Attributed in John Aubrey, Brief Lives. Hobbes recalled, “my mother was frightened with the report of the Spanish invasion, and it was the cause of my birth, and fear at the same time.” ↩
Thomas Hobbes, Leviathan (1651), Part I, Chapter XIII, “Of the Natural Condition of Mankind.” ↩
Hobbes, Leviathan, Part II, Chapters XXI–XXVIII, on liberty of subjects and the right of self-preservation. ↩
For context, see the English Civil Wars (1642–1651), the execution of Charles I (1649), and the Commonwealth under Oliver Cromwell. Hobbes compiled Leviathan amid these events and published it in 1651. ↩